Technical Analysis from A-Z

Posted by Stefanus Wardoyo on Sunday 11 November 2007

I found interesting e-book about Technical Analysis.
Download it here

I found this link at klubsaham.com forum.
If you are interested with stocks market….I think you must join in klubsaham.com

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Next week, I will try this theory

Posted by Stefanus Wardoyo on Friday 9 November 2007

I found some interesting and simple theory to make money in Stocks Market.
It based on supply and demand.
I think it’s possible true….
Please read the theory below…in Bahasa as the original.

====
“saya juga punya cara gampang, ya idenya dari vol up - price up nya bung tsunamizawa juga sih

kayaknya cocok untuk yang baru belajar main saham

mungkin justru pada sudah tahu, terutama yang belajar japanese candle stick

yah angap aja ini sebagai reminder :

1. cari saham yang vol dan pricenya menguat significant dan penguatan berlangsung sampai menjelang penutupan.

2. harga pada saat menjelang penutupan tidak boleh jauh lebih rendah dari harga tertinggi hari itu.

2. belilah pada saat mendekati penutupan, pastikan harga penutupan
tidak jauh lebih rendah dari harga tertinggi hari itu. jika semuanya
berjalan sesuai kebiasaan, maka keesokan harinya harga akan naik.

3. keesokan harinya, jual saham pada sesi pagi (sebelum makan
siang), awasi terus pergerakan harga, pasang target dan jangan serakah,
hati-hati, percayalah dan yakinlah bahwa bukan hanya anda yang ingin
melakukan profit taking.

gampang kan ?,

as always, trade @ your own risk, good luck !


Post by bernard_fiennes at KlubSaham.com
http://www.klubsaham.com/index.php?name=PNphpBB2&file=viewtopic&t=4728&postdays=0&postorder=asc&start=20

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My new mentor

Posted by Stefanus Wardoyo on Friday 9 November 2007

Yesterday, I try to read some post in KlubSaham.com. And today I had contacted by a senior member in klubsaham.com by Yahoo Messenger.
I cannot publish his name in this blog…but, I think he is very helpfull, he give me some suggestion.

He was start to enter in stocks market at 2002 with initial deposit 50 millions.
But, now….in 2007, he had 5 M assets in Stocks and Cash !!!

wow !!

I propose him to be my mentor….he said..okay…but, he is a long time player…not short time player. So, he said that he affraid I will disappointed with him.
He said that he cannot play for daily or weekly trading.

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3rd day Simulation activities

Posted by Stefanus Wardoyo on Friday 9 November 2007

Today, I enter the market at the end of session 1.
I look the price, as I planned yesterday, BUMI has going up to 5.300 (bid price)
so, I sell BUMI 1 lot, and than buy BMRI as my mentor suggested yesterday at 3275.
So, with this evening profit….it can cover my last lost.

I have updated my Simulation files, please review and comments please.

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Dow Jones still “impotent”

Posted by Stefanus Wardoyo on Thursday 8 November 2007

Dow Jones still bearish until -89.25 in mid of the day.
I’m affraid, that tommorow will be a “black day” again.

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2nd day evaluation

Posted by Stefanus Wardoyo on Thursday 8 November 2007

In the 2nd day, I found a several mistakes in my simulation method.

  1. Yesterday, I “bought” a  stocks in LAST price….it should in OFFER price, not LAST price.
  2. Close price is not always will be Opening price…so I can’t assume that I can sell my stocks in early on the morning at last day close price.

So, I just made some correction in my report file.

Evaluation for my trade simulation,
today I enter the market in the morning to sell all of my stocks.
Why ?
because the night before I saw Dow Jones was “DROP”

But, I think I made a mistakes….I think I should keep my TLKM, because I’m sure it will be rebound !!
let’s see….

I enter market again at 15.00
and I must bought some stocks today… (I have sell everything)
My choice is MINING Sector.
Because in this situation, I’m sure, that the price is discounted.

So I buy for ANTM 2 lot and BUMI 2 lot.

I think I made a wrong decision again.

My mentor said , I should buy some FINANCE sector…like BMRI, the discount was so YUMMY !!!
But I dont have money :( until I sell some of my ENERGY Stocks.

My plan now, if BUMI tommorow can make me a little profit, I will sell it 1 lot, and go to BMRI….it’s so YUMMY.
I will hold ANTM as my mentor suggested. He said that it can reach 5000 !!

comment please.

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Change Title

Posted by Stefanus Wardoyo on Thursday 8 November 2007

It’s time to change the current title “I try to make My First BLOG”.
Now the title is “Learning by Doing - Stefanus Wardoyo Stocks Market Simulation daily Report”

because…for now I very-very love this topic.

so….keep checking this blog every day.

comment please

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2nd day Simulation <- revised

Posted by Stefanus Wardoyo on Thursday 8 November 2007

Sorry,
this morning I close TLKM and BBCA at the wrong price.
This day, BBCA is open with price 7100 (not 7200 as I reported before) and TLKM at  11250 (not 11.600 as  I reported before).

so, I was LOST about -1.73% !!

please see my revised Simulasi Trading Saham.xls

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ANTM & BUMI

Posted by Stefanus Wardoyo on Thursday 8 November 2007

I enter the market at the evening, at 15.00
I bought ANTM 2 lot at offer price 3900 and BUMI 2 lot at offer price 5100

Let’s see tommorow result….what will happen.

Why I choose those emiten today ?

Because, with oil price high like now, and bearish market like today (IHSG -2%),
I think, the price was cheap for energy company.
I hope energy company will not affected in this global economy recession (because of oil price increased)

am I right ???

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2nd day Simulation

Posted by Stefanus Wardoyo on Thursday 8 November 2007

Last Night Dow Jones Index going down -258.41 (when I checked).
This morning, when I check bloomberg.com, NIKKEI index going down to -317.04

It’s indicate that IHSG will going down today….

so….I close all my position in earlier market open.

I close TLKM at 11.600 (opening price)
I close BBCA at 7.200 (opening price)

So, minus brokerage fee, I still have margin Rp. 43.700 or 0.44% margin.

not bad for the first experience.

I will enter into stocks market again when the market almost close this day.
So I will got the stocks in discount price……

see u.

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